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Hurricane PATRICIA Forecast Advisory Number 11
2015-10-22 22:32:50| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 2100 UTC THU OCT 22 2015 000 WTPZ25 KNHC 222032 TCMEP5 HURRICANE PATRICIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP202015 2100 UTC THU OCT 22 2015 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE HURRICANE WARNING NORTH OF CABO CORRIENTES TO SAN BLAS AND DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FROM EAST OF LAZARO CARDENAS TO TECPAN DE GALEANA. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * SAN BLAS TO PUNTA SAN TELMO A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * EAST OF PUNTA SAN TELMO TO LAZARO CARDENAS A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * EAST OF PUNTA SAN TELMO TO LAZARO CARDENAS A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 TO 36 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 104.6W AT 22/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 953 MB EYE DIAMETER 10 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT. 64 KT....... 25NE 20SE 15SW 20NW. 50 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT.......150NE 90SE 50SW 90NW. 12 FT SEAS..210NE 240SE 120SW 140NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 104.6W AT 22/2100Z AT 22/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 104.1W FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 16.5N 105.6W MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT. 64 KT... 35NE 35SE 25SW 30NW. 50 KT... 50NE 60SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT...145NE 110SE 70SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 18.1N 105.9W MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT. 64 KT... 35NE 35SE 30SW 35NW. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT...150NE 120SE 80SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 20.6N 104.9W...INLAND MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 15SW 15NW. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 110SE 70SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 23.3N 102.8W...INLAND MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.4N 104.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN
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