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Hurricane Rafael Forecast Advisory Number 18

2024-11-08 03:52:41| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 0300 UTC FRI NOV 08 2024 000 WTNT23 KNHC 080252 TCMAT3 HURRICANE RAFAEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 18 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182024 0300 UTC FRI NOV 08 2024 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.6N 87.1W AT 08/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 965 MB EYE DIAMETER 30 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT. 64 KT....... 25NE 20SE 20SW 25NW. 50 KT....... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT.......100NE 90SE 50SW 90NW. 12 FT SEAS..180NE 105SE 75SW 120NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.6N 87.1W AT 08/0300Z AT 08/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.7N 86.6W FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 24.7N 88.4W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 20SE 10SW 25NW. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...100NE 90SE 50SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 24.8N 89.9W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 10SE 10SW 20NW. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT...100NE 80SE 50SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 25.1N 91.1W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 10SE 10SW 10NW. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT...100NE 80SE 40SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 25.2N 91.9W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT... 90NE 70SE 30SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 25.3N 92.4W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 10NW. 34 KT... 80NE 60SE 30SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 24.9N 92.7W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 12/0000Z 23.7N 93.1W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 0NE 0SE 30SW 40NW. OUTLOOK VALID 13/0000Z 22.0N 93.9W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.6N 87.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0900Z $$ FORECASTER BEVEN


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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2024-11-08 00:32:42| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 072332 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 700 PM EST Thu Nov 7 2024 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Rafael, located over the southeastern Gulf of Mexico. Near the Virgin Islands: A trough of low pressure located near and north of the Virgin Islands continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Some gradual development of this system is possible during the next couple of days while it moves westward near the Greater Antilles. Regardless of development, locally heavy rains are possible across the northern Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, Hispaniola, and the southeastern Bahamas through Saturday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Beven


Category: Transportation and Logistics

 

 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2024-11-08 00:09:11| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 072309 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 400 PM PST Thu Nov 7 2024 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center has issued the last advisory on the remnants of Tropical Depression Fourteen-E, located several hundred miles southwest of southwestern Mexico. Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days. $$ Forecaster Hagen


Category: Transportation and Logistics

 

 

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