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Hurricane Rafael Public Advisory Number 18
2024-11-08 03:52:41| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 900 PM CST Thu Nov 07 2024 000 WTNT33 KNHC 080252 TCPAT3 BULLETIN Hurricane Rafael Advisory Number 18 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL182024 900 PM CST Thu Nov 07 2024 ...RAFAEL GETS A LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED AS IT MOVES WESTWARD OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO... SUMMARY OF 900 PM CST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...24.6N 87.1W ABOUT 280 MI...455 KM NE OF PROGRESO MEXICO ABOUT 635 MI...1025 KM E OF MOUTH OF THE RIO GRANDE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH...165 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...965 MB...28.50 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. Interests in the southern and southwestern Gulf of Mexico should monitor the progress of Rafael. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 900 PM CST (0300 UTC), the center of Hurricane Rafael was located near latitude 24.6 North, longitude 87.1 West. Rafael is moving toward the west near 9 mph (15 km/h), and a general westward to west-northwestward motion at a slower forward speed is expected through the weekend. On the forecast track, Rafael is expected to move over the central Gulf of Mexico for the next few days. Reports from an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate that maximum sustained winds are near 105 mph (165 km/h) with higher gusts. Some small intensity fluctuations are possible tonight and Friday. Weakening is forecast to begin on Friday night and continue through the weekend. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 30 miles (45 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km). The latest minimum central pressure reported by the Hurricane Hunter aircraft is 965 mb (28.50 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Hurricane Rafael can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT3 and WMO header WTNT43 KNHC and on the web at hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT3.shtml SURF: Swells generated by Rafael are expected to spread across most of the Gulf of Mexico during the next several days. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 300 AM CST. $$ Forecaster Beven
Category:Transportation and Logistics
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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2024-11-08 00:32:42| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 072332 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 700 PM EST Thu Nov 7 2024 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Rafael, located over the southeastern Gulf of Mexico. Near the Virgin Islands: A trough of low pressure located near and north of the Virgin Islands continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Some gradual development of this system is possible during the next couple of days while it moves westward near the Greater Antilles. Regardless of development, locally heavy rains are possible across the northern Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, Hispaniola, and the southeastern Bahamas through Saturday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Beven
Category: Transportation and Logistics
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2024-11-08 00:09:11| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 072309 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 400 PM PST Thu Nov 7 2024 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center has issued the last advisory on the remnants of Tropical Depression Fourteen-E, located several hundred miles southwest of southwestern Mexico. Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days. $$ Forecaster Hagen
Category: Transportation and Logistics