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Hurricane Rosa Forecast Advisory Number 17

2018-09-29 10:39:48| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 0900 UTC SAT SEP 29 2018 390 WTPZ25 KNHC 290839 TCMEP5 HURRICANE ROSA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP202018 0900 UTC SAT SEP 29 2018 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. INTERESTS IN THE NORTHERN AND CENTRAL BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ROSA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH COULD BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN BAJA CALIFORNIA LATER THIS MORNING. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.2N 118.2W AT 29/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 971 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT. 64 KT....... 25NE 25SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT.......120NE 140SE 70SW 100NW. 12 FT SEAS..240NE 270SE 240SW 240NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.2N 118.2W AT 29/0900Z AT 29/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.8N 118.1W FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 20.5N 118.4W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 70SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 22.5N 118.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 70SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 24.4N 118.1W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 70SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 26.2N 117.3W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 70SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 30.9N 115.0W...INLAND NORTHERN BAJA CALIF MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 03/0600Z 38.0N 111.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 15 KT...GUSTS 20 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 04/0600Z...DISSIPATED INLAND REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.2N 118.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/1500Z $$ FORECASTER STEWART

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