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Hurricane Rosa Forecast Advisory Number 21
2018-09-30 10:38:30| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0900 UTC SUN SEP 30 2018 420 WTPZ25 KNHC 300838 TCMEP5 HURRICANE ROSA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 21 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP202018 0900 UTC SUN SEP 30 2018 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * WEST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM PUNTA ABREOJOS TO CABO SAN QUINTIN A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * EAST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM BAHIA DE LOS ANGELES TO SAN FELIPE A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA... GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE NORTHERN AND CENTRAL BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND NORTHWESTERN SONORA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ROSA. ADDITIONAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED LATER THIS MORNING. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.3N 118.8W AT 30/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 5 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 975 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT. 64 KT....... 25NE 25SE 0SW 20NW. 50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT.......120NE 130SE 70SW 100NW. 12 FT SEAS..210NE 240SE 210SW 210NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.3N 118.8W AT 30/0900Z AT 30/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.8N 118.9W FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 24.8N 118.3W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 15NW. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT...100NE 120SE 70SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 26.5N 117.2W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT... 90NE 100SE 70SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 28.3N 116.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 80NE 80SE 40SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 30.6N 114.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 60SE 0SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 37.2N 110.8W...POST-TROP/INLAND MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 04/0600Z...DISSIPATED INLAND REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.3N 118.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/1500Z $$ FORECASTER STEWART
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