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Hurricane Sergio Forecast Advisory Number 16
2018-10-03 10:46:29| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0900 UTC WED OCT 03 2018 813 WTPZ21 KNHC 030846 TCMEP1 HURRICANE SERGIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP212018 0900 UTC WED OCT 03 2018 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 116.7W AT 03/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 965 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT. 64 KT....... 40NE 40SE 20SW 25NW. 50 KT....... 70NE 70SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT.......120NE 130SE 80SW 100NW. 12 FT SEAS..300NE 300SE 180SW 180NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 116.7W AT 03/0900Z AT 03/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.0N 116.3W FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 13.0N 117.8W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 25NW. 50 KT... 70NE 70SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...120NE 130SE 80SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 14.0N 119.0W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 25NW. 50 KT... 70NE 70SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...120NE 130SE 80SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 15.0N 120.3W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 25NW. 50 KT... 70NE 70SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...130NE 130SE 80SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 15.8N 121.5W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 30NW. 50 KT... 70NE 70SE 40SW 60NW. 34 KT...140NE 140SE 90SW 130NW. FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 16.3N 124.0W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 70NW. 34 KT...150NE 140SE 90SW 150NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 07/0600Z 16.3N 127.0W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 08/0600Z 16.8N 130.0W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.3N 116.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/1500Z $$ FORECASTER BROWN
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