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Hurricane Sergio Forecast Advisory Number 17
2018-10-03 16:30:59| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1500 UTC WED OCT 03 2018 856 WTPZ21 KNHC 031430 TCMEP1 HURRICANE SERGIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP212018 1500 UTC WED OCT 03 2018 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.9N 117.3W AT 03/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 955 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT. 64 KT....... 40NE 40SE 20SW 25NW. 50 KT....... 70NE 70SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT.......120NE 130SE 80SW 100NW. 12 FT SEAS..300NE 300SE 210SW 210NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.9N 117.3W AT 03/1500Z AT 03/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.6N 117.0W FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 13.6N 118.3W MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 25NW. 50 KT... 70NE 70SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...120NE 130SE 80SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 14.7N 119.6W MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 25NW. 50 KT... 70NE 70SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...120NE 130SE 80SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 15.6N 120.9W MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 25NW. 50 KT... 70NE 70SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...130NE 130SE 80SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 16.2N 122.0W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 30NW. 50 KT... 70NE 70SE 40SW 60NW. 34 KT...140NE 140SE 90SW 130NW. FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 16.3N 124.5W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 70NW. 34 KT...150NE 140SE 90SW 150NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 16.3N 127.2W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 17.0N 130.0W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.9N 117.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/2100Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH
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