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Hurricane Sergio Forecast Advisory Number 22

2018-10-04 22:32:13| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 2100 UTC THU OCT 04 2018 000 WTPZ21 KNHC 042032 TCMEP1 HURRICANE SERGIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 22 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP212018 2100 UTC THU OCT 04 2018 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 119.9W AT 04/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 947 MB EYE DIAMETER 25 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT. 64 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 30NW. 50 KT....... 70NE 70SE 70SW 60NW. 34 KT.......120NE 130SE 130SW 100NW. 12 FT SEAS..420NE 360SE 330SW 330NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 119.9W AT 04/2100Z AT 04/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 119.6W FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 15.9N 120.8W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 50 KT... 70NE 70SE 60SW 60NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 110SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 16.1N 121.9W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...130NE 110SE 110SW 130NW. FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 15.9N 123.2W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 50 KT... 70NE 60SE 60SW 70NW. 34 KT...150NE 120SE 120SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 15.7N 124.5W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 50 KT... 70NE 60SE 60SW 70NW. 34 KT...150NE 120SE 120SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 15.7N 126.6W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 60SE 60SW 70NW. 34 KT...140NE 120SE 120SW 140NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 08/1800Z 16.8N 127.4W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 18.3N 126.2W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.5N 119.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0300Z $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI

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