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Hurricane Sergio Forecast Advisory Number 41
2018-10-09 16:47:52| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1500 UTC TUE OCT 09 2018 000 WTPZ21 KNHC 091447 TCMEP1 HURRICANE SERGIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 41 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP212018 1500 UTC TUE OCT 09 2018 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. INTERESTS IN BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF SERGIO. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 127.4W AT 09/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 55 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 982 MB EYE DIAMETER 70 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT. 64 KT....... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. 50 KT....... 70NE 70SE 60SW 70NW. 34 KT.......110NE 120SE 110SW 110NW. 12 FT SEAS..300NE 270SE 360SW 390NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 127.4W AT 09/1500Z AT 09/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 127.7W FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 17.1N 126.3W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. 50 KT... 70NE 70SE 60SW 70NW. 34 KT...110NE 120SE 110SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 18.1N 124.4W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. 50 KT... 70NE 70SE 60SW 70NW. 34 KT...110NE 130SE 130SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 19.7N 122.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 70SE 60SW 70NW. 34 KT...110NE 140SE 130SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 21.7N 119.3W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 70SE 60SW 60NW. 34 KT...130NE 150SE 120SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 26.2N 113.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 50SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...130NE 150SE 120SW 100NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 13/1200Z 31.0N 106.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 14/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.6N 127.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/2100Z $$ FORECASTER ZELINSKY
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