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Hurricane Teddy Forecast Advisory Number 15

2020-09-16 08:43:54| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 0700 UTC WED SEP 16 2020 000 WTNT25 KNHC 160643 TCMAT5 HURRICANE TEDDY SPECIAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL202020 0700 UTC WED SEP 16 2020 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 48.7W AT 16/0700Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 981 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT. 64 KT....... 20NE 10SE 10SW 20NW. 50 KT....... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT.......140NE 80SE 40SW 150NW. 12 FT SEAS..300NE 240SE 120SW 150NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 48.7W AT 16/0700Z AT 16/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 48.0W FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 16.0N 49.2W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 20SE 10SW 20NW. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT...140NE 80SE 50SW 130NW. FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 17.3N 50.5W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 20SE 15SW 25NW. 50 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT...140NE 110SE 70SW 130NW. FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 18.8N 52.0W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 25SE 20SW 30NW. 50 KT... 70NE 50SE 40SW 60NW. 34 KT...140NE 110SE 80SW 130NW. FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 20.2N 53.4W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 125 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 30SE 25SW 40NW. 50 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...140NE 110SE 80SW 130NW. FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 21.6N 54.8W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 50 KT... 80NE 70SE 60SW 70NW. 34 KT...140NE 120SE 100SW 130NW. FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 23.0N 56.2W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 50 KT... 90NE 80SE 60SW 80NW. 34 KT...150NE 130SE 110SW 130NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z 26.5N 60.0W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 21/0000Z 29.5N 62.5W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.5N 48.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0900Z $$ FORECASTER BLAKE

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