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Hurricane VANCE Forecast Advisory Number 17
2014-11-03 09:32:34| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0900 UTC MON NOV 03 2014 000 WTPZ21 KNHC 030832 TCMEP1 HURRICANE VANCE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP212014 0900 UTC MON NOV 03 2014 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 110.3W AT 03/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 971 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT. 64 KT....... 15NE 15SE 10SW 15NW. 50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT.......110NE 110SE 50SW 110NW. 12 FT SEAS..180NE 210SE 150SW 150NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 110.3W AT 03/0900Z AT 03/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.0N 110.0W FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 16.0N 110.7W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 20NW. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...110NE 100SE 60SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 17.9N 110.5W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 20NW. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...110NE 100SE 70SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 19.6N 109.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 20NW. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 70SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 21.4N 108.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 70SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 23.2N 107.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 07/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.5N 110.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/1500Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH
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