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Hurricane VANCE Forecast Advisory Number 18
2014-11-03 15:52:36| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1500 UTC MON NOV 03 2014 000 WTPZ21 KNHC 031452 TCMEP1 HURRICANE VANCE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 18 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP212014 1500 UTC MON NOV 03 2014 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. INTERESTS IN SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF VANCE. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 110.6W AT 03/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 971 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT. 64 KT....... 15NE 15SE 10SW 15NW. 50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT.......110NE 110SE 50SW 110NW. 12 FT SEAS..180NE 210SE 150SW 180NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 110.6W AT 03/1500Z AT 03/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 110.5W FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 16.7N 110.7W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 20NW. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...110NE 100SE 60SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 18.6N 110.1W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...100NE 90SE 60SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 20.6N 108.9W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 80NE 80SE 50SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 22.5N 107.7W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 24.0N 107.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.3N 110.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BROWN
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