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Hurricane VANCE Forecast Advisory Number 19
2014-11-03 21:43:08| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 2100 UTC MON NOV 03 2014 000 WTPZ21 KNHC 032043 TCMEP1 HURRICANE VANCE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 19 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP212014 2100 UTC MON NOV 03 2014 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. INTERESTS IN SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF VANCE. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 110.8W AT 03/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 965 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT. 64 KT....... 15NE 15SE 10SW 15NW. 50 KT....... 40NE 40SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT.......110NE 110SE 60SW 80NW. 12 FT SEAS..180NE 210SE 150SW 180NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 110.8W AT 03/2100Z AT 03/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 110.8W FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 17.8N 110.5W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 20NW. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT...110NE 100SE 60SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 19.6N 109.7W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 21.4N 108.7W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 70SE 40SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 23.4N 108.1W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 25.0N 108.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.4N 110.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/0300Z $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
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