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Hurricane VANCE Forecast Advisory Number 22
2014-11-04 15:39:12| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1500 UTC TUE NOV 04 2014 000 WTPZ21 KNHC 041439 TCMEP1 HURRICANE VANCE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 22 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP212014 1500 UTC TUE NOV 04 2014 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * MAZATLAN NORTHWARD TO TOPOLOBAMPO MEXICO A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF VANCE. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING COULD BE REQUIRED FOR A PORTION OF THE COAST OF MEXICO LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.3N 109.6W AT 04/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 25 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 977 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT. 64 KT....... 20NE 20SE 10SW 20NW. 50 KT....... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT.......110NE 110SE 60SW 70NW. 12 FT SEAS..150NE 150SE 180SW 180NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.3N 109.6W AT 04/1500Z AT 04/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.8N 109.8W FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 21.0N 108.7W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 60SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 23.2N 107.8W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 80SE 40SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 25.3N 107.2W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.3N 109.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BEVEN
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