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Hurricane VANCE Public Advisory Number 15
2014-11-02 21:35:33| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 100 PM PST SUN NOV 02 2014 000 WTPZ31 KNHC 022035 TCPEP1 BULLETIN HURRICANE VANCE ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP212014 100 PM PST SUN NOV 02 2014 ...VANCE STRENGTHENS A LITTLE MORE... SUMMARY OF 100 PM PST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...12.8N 108.6W ABOUT 515 MI...830 KM SW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...985 MB...29.09 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 100 PM PST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE VANCE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 108.6 WEST. VANCE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH...26 KM/H....AND A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 85 MPH...140 KM/H... WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO...BUT A WEAKENING TREND IS LIKELY TO BEGIN BY LATE MONDAY. HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 10 MILES...20 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 985 MB...29.09 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY VANCE ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN AFFECTING PORTIONS OF THE COAST OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO AND BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR IN A DAY OR TWO. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...700 PM PST. $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
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