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Hurricane Willa Wind Speed Probabilities Number 11
2018-10-22 22:38:26| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 2100 UTC MON OCT 22 2018 000 FOPZ14 KNHC 222038 PWSEP4 HURRICANE WILLA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 11 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP242018 2100 UTC MON OCT 22 2018 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE WILLA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 107.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 135 KTS...155 MPH...250 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT CABO SAN LUCAS 34 2 3( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) SAN JOSE CABO 34 1 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) LOS MOCHIS 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) CULIACAN 34 X 2( 2) 10(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) ISLAS MARIAS 34 95 5(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) ISLAS MARIAS 50 26 69(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) ISLAS MARIAS 64 3 74(77) 1(78) X(78) X(78) X(78) X(78) MAZATLAN 34 2 51(53) 40(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) MAZATLAN 50 X 6( 6) 45(51) X(51) X(51) X(51) X(51) MAZATLAN 64 X 2( 2) 17(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) SAN BLAS 34 8 59(67) 9(76) X(76) X(76) X(76) X(76) SAN BLAS 50 X 9( 9) 7(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) SAN BLAS 64 X 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) P VALLARTA 34 15 14(29) 4(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) BARRA NAVIDAD 34 2 1( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) MANZANILLO 34 2 2( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) 20N 110W 34 2 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) $$ FORECASTER BROWN
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