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Potential Tropical Cyclone Fifteen Graphics
2024-10-18 22:45:32| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Fri, 18 Oct 2024 20:45:32 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Fri, 18 Oct 2024 21:22:44 GMT
Category:Transportation and Logistics
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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2024-10-18 19:41:02| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 181736 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Fri Oct 18 2024 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: North of Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands (AL94): Recent satellite-derived wind data indicate that a trough of low pressure continues to produce showers and thunderstorms extending a couple hundred miles north of Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands. Development, if any, of this disturbance should be slow to occur while it moves quickly westward to west-northwestward at around 20 mph, continuing north of Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands today, then near Hispaniola and the southeastern Bahamas this weekend. Further development is not expected due to strong upper-level winds by early next week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent. Western Caribbean Sea (AL95): Widespread showers and thunderstorms have become a little better organized today across the northwestern Caribbean Sea in association with a broad area of low pressure that is gradually becoming better defined to the north of eastern Honduras. Environmental conditions appear conducive for some additional development over the next day or so, and a short-lived tropical depression or storm could form before the system moves inland over Central America on Saturday. Interests in Belize and the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico should monitor the progress of this system, as tropical storm watches or warnings may be required later today. Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall is likely across portions of Central America and southern Mexico through the weekend. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent. $$ Forecaster Hogsett/Cangialosi
Category: Transportation and Logistics
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2024-10-18 19:35:04| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 181734 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Fri Oct 18 2024 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: South of Southwestern Mexico: An area of low pressure is expected to form in a few days well offshore of southwestern Mexico. Gradual development is possible thereafter, and a tropical depression could form around the middle of next week as the system moves westward at 10 to 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent. $$ Forecaster Hogsett/Cangialosi
Category: Transportation and Logistics