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Potential Tropical Cyclone Fourteen-E Wind Speed Probabilities Number 5
2017-08-30 22:35:54| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 2100 UTC WED AUG 30 2017 000 FOPZ14 KNHC 302035 PWSEP4 POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE FOURTEEN-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 5 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142017 2100 UTC WED AUG 30 2017 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE FOURTEEN-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 108.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT SAN DIEGO CA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) YUMA AZ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) TIJUANA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) ENSENADA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) IS GUADALUPE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 2( 8) PUNTA EUGENIA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 16(17) 5(22) 1(23) PUNTA EUGENIA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) PUNTA EUGENIA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) P ABREOJOS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 25(30) 4(34) X(34) P ABREOJOS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) P ABREOJOS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) CABO SAN LUCAS 34 3 45(48) 27(75) 5(80) 1(81) X(81) X(81) CABO SAN LUCAS 50 X 8( 8) 22(30) 4(34) 1(35) X(35) X(35) CABO SAN LUCAS 64 X 1( 1) 5( 6) 1( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) SAN JOSE CABO 34 2 42(44) 30(74) 6(80) 1(81) X(81) X(81) SAN JOSE CABO 50 X 5( 5) 19(24) 4(28) 2(30) X(30) X(30) SAN JOSE CABO 64 X X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) LA PAZ 34 1 10(11) 33(44) 22(66) 8(74) X(74) X(74) LA PAZ 50 X X( X) 6( 6) 15(21) 5(26) X(26) X(26) LA PAZ 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) LORETO 34 X 1( 1) 5( 6) 20(26) 30(56) 2(58) X(58) LORETO 50 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 15(19) X(19) X(19) LORETO 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) P PENASCO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7) 1( 8) HERMOSILLO 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 12(14) 2(16) X(16) BAHIA KINO 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 19(22) 3(25) X(25) BAHIA KINO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) BAHIA KINO 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) GUAYMAS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 20(26) 3(29) X(29) GUAYMAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) GUAYMAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) HUATABAMPO 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 9(13) 16(29) 1(30) X(30) HUATABAMPO 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) LOS MOCHIS 34 X 2( 2) 8(10) 14(24) 10(34) 1(35) X(35) LOS MOCHIS 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) CULIACAN 34 X 4( 4) 7(11) 5(16) 3(19) X(19) 1(20) ISLAS MARIAS 34 4 5( 9) 3(12) 1(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) MAZATLAN 34 1 4( 5) 4( 9) 2(11) 1(12) X(12) X(12) SAN BLAS 34 1 1( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) P VALLARTA 34 1 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 20N 110W 34 11 13(24) 2(26) 2(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) ISLA SOCORRO 34 1 2( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) 25N 115W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 11(14) 2(16) X(16) 30N 120W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) $$ FORECASTER BLAKE
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