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Potential Tropical Cyclone Nine Wind Speed Probabilities Number 1
2017-08-17 16:39:58| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC THU AUG 17 2017 000 FONT14 KNHC 171439 PWSAT4 POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE NINE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092017 1500 UTC THU AUG 17 2017 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE NINE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 54.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT FRONTERA MX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) MERIDA MX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) COZUMEL MX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) BELIZE CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 18(19) BELIZE CITY 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) BELIZE CITY 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) PUERTO BARRIOS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) GUANAJA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 26(31) GUANAJA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) GUANAJA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) PUERTO CABEZAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) 7(19) PUERTO CABEZAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) PUERTO CABEZAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) BLUEFIELDS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) SAN ANDRES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 2(11) PT GALLINAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) X(12) X(12) PT GALLINAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) CURACAO 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) X( 9) X( 9) CP SAN ANTONIO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) ISLE OF PINES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) GUANTANAMO BAY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) GRAND CAYMAN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 4(13) MONTEGO BAY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) 1(13) KINGSTON 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 12(16) X(16) KINGSTON 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) LES CAYES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 2( 9) X( 9) PORT-AU-PRINCE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) CAPE BEATA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 1(10) X(10) SANTO DOMINGO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) PONCE PR 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) AGUADILLA PR 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) SAN JUAN PR 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) VIEQUES PR 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) SAINT THOMAS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) SAINT CROIX 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ST KITTS-NEVIS 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) GUADELOUPE 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) AVES 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 4( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) DOMINICA 34 X 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) MARTINIQUE 34 X 2( 2) 11(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) SAINT LUCIA 34 X 5( 5) 21(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) SAINT VINCENT 34 X 4( 4) 22(26) 1(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) SAINT VINCENT 50 X X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) BARBADOS 34 X 19(19) 4(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) GRENADA 34 X X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) $$ FORECASTER BEVEN
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Category:Transportation and Logistics
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