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Potential Tropical Cyclone Seven Forecast Advisory Number 1
2017-08-06 22:35:59| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC SUN AUG 06 2017 000 WTNT22 KNHC 062035 TCMAT2 POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE SEVEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072017 2100 UTC SUN AUG 06 2017 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM CHETUMAL NORTHWARD AND AROUND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA TO CAMPECHE. THE GOVERNMENT OF BELIZE HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FROM BELIZE CITY NORTHWARD. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * COAST OF MEXICO FROM CHETUMAL TO CAMPECHE A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BELIZE CITY NORTHWARD TO THE BORDER OF MEXICO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 TO 36 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 TO 36 HOURS. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE AROUND THE BAY OF CAMPECHE SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 82.0W AT 06/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 50 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 82.0W AT 06/2100Z AT 06/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 81.5W FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 16.6N 83.6W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT...TROPICAL CYCLONE 34 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 18.0N 85.9W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 40SE 0SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 19.0N 88.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 40SE 0SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 19.9N 90.1W...INLAND MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 21.0N 93.8W...OVER WATER MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z 21.2N 97.8W...INLAND MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 11/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.6N 82.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0300Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH
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