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Potential Tropical Cyclone Seven Forecast Advisory Number 2
2018-09-03 04:51:18| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC MON SEP 03 2018 360 WTNT22 KNHC 030251 TCMAT2 POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE SEVEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072018 0300 UTC MON SEP 03 2018 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... A STORM SURGE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE NORTH-CENTRAL GULF COAST FROM THE MISSISSIPPI-ALABAMA BORDER WESTWARD TO THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * MISSISSIPPI-ALABAMA BORDER WESTWARD TO THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * ALABAMA-FLORIDA BORDER WESTWARD TO EAST OF MORGAN CITY... LOUISIANA... INCLUDING LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND LAKE MAUREPAS INTERESTS IN THE FLORIDA KEYS AND THE SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.4N 78.7W AT 03/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1012 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.4N 78.7W AT 03/0300Z AT 03/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.0N 78.0W FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 24.5N 80.7W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 25.9N 83.4W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 27.5N 86.2W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 28.8N 88.6W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 50NE 40SE 20SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 31.7N 92.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 07/0000Z 33.2N 94.4W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 08/0000Z 34.2N 95.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.4N 78.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0900Z $$ FORECASTER BROWN
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