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Potential Tropical Cyclone Ten Public Advisory Number 7
2017-08-29 10:59:41| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 500 AM EDT Tue Aug 29 2017 000 WTNT35 KNHC 290859 TCPAT5 BULLETIN Potential Tropical Cyclone Ten Advisory Number 7 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL102017 500 AM EDT Tue Aug 29 2017 ...DISTURBANCE LOCATED NEAR THE SOUTH CAROLINA AND NORTH CAROLINA COASTAL BORDER... SUMMARY OF 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...33.5N 78.5W ABOUT 95 MI...150 KM ENE OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA ABOUT 65 MI...100 KM SW OF WILMINGTON NORTH CAROLINA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 45 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: A Tropical Storm Watch has been discontinued from South Santee River to Little River Inlet. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * North of Surf City to Duck * Albemarle Sound * Pamlico Sound A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * Surf City to Little River Inlet A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area later today. A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area later this morning. For storm information specific to your area, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 500 AM EDT (0900 UTC), the disturbance was centered near latitude 33.5 North, longitude 78.5 West. The system is moving toward the northeast near 12 mph (19 km/h), and is anticipated to turn toward the east-northeast and accelerate during the next couple of days. The expected track will take the system along the North Carolina coast today before moving out to sea tonight. Maximum sustained winds remain near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. The disturbance is not expected to change much in strength today and the chances for the system to become a tropical cyclone appear to be decreasing. Regardless of whether or not this system becomes a tropical cyclone, tropical-storm-force winds and heavy rains are expected over portions of North Carolina later today. * Formation chance through 48 hours... medium...50 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 105 miles (165 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected within the warning area this afternoon and tropical storm conditions are possible in the watch area later this morning. RAINFALL: The system is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 1 to 3 inches with isolated amounts of 5 inches along northeastern North Carolina and southeast Virginia coasts into the Delmarva through Wednesday. The heavier rains may result in some flooding concerns along coastal areas. SURF: Swells generated by this disturbance will affect portions of the North Carolina and Virginia coasts during the next day or so, creating dangerous surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. TORNADOES: A brief tornado is possible through midday along the North Carolina coast. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 800 AM EDT. Next complete advisory at 1100 AM EDT. $$ Forecaster Landsea
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