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Potential Tropical Cyclone Ten Wind Speed Probabilities Number 1
2017-08-27 22:47:30| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC SUN AUG 27 2017 000 FONT15 KNHC 272047 PWSAT5 POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE TEN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102017 2100 UTC SUN AUG 27 2017 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE TEN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 31.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 80.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 20(22) HIBERNIA OILFD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) HIBERNIA OILFD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 9(17) CAPE RACE NFLD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) CAPE RACE NFLD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 2(10) BURGEO NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) PTX BASQUES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) EDDY POINT NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 1( 9) SYDNEY NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 24(25) X(25) SABLE ISLAND 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) X( 8) SABLE ISLAND 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) HALIFAX NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 7(10) X(10) YARMOUTH NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 3(10) X(10) ST JOHN NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) EASTPORT ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) BAR HARBOR ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) PORTLAND ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) CONCORD NH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) PORTSMOUTH NH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) WORCESTER MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) SPRINGFIELD MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) BOSTON MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) HYANNIS MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) X(13) X(13) HYANNIS MA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) NANTUCKET MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 17(17) X(17) X(17) NANTUCKET MA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) NANTUCKET MA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) PROVIDENCE RI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) X( 8) X( 8) BRIDGEPORT CT 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6) X( 6) NEW HAVEN CT 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6) X( 6) HARTFORD CT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) NEW LONDON CT 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) X( 8) X( 8) POUGHKEEPSIE 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) MONTAUK POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) X(11) X(11) ISLIP NY 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) X( 8) X( 8) NYC JFK AIRPRT 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6) X( 6) NYC CNTRL PARK 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) NEWARK NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) TRENTON NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) NWS EARLE NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) X( 7) X( 7) ALLENTOWN PA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) PHILADELPHIA 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) X( 6) X( 6) ATLANTIC CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 8(12) X(12) X(12) BALTIMORE MD 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) DOVER DE 34 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 5(10) X(10) X(10) ANNAPOLIS MD 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6) WASHINGTON DC 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) CAPE HENLOPEN 34 X X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 9(16) X(16) X(16) OCEAN CITY MD 34 X X( X) X( X) 13(13) 9(22) X(22) X(22) OCEAN CITY MD 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) OCEAN CITY MD 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) PAX RIVER NAS 34 X X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 3(11) X(11) X(11) WALLOPS CDA 34 X X( X) X( X) 15(15) 7(22) X(22) X(22) WALLOPS CDA 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) CHARLOTTESVIL 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) RICHMOND VA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 2(11) X(11) X(11) DANVILLE VA 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) NORFOLK NAS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 18(19) 3(22) X(22) X(22) NORFOLK NAS 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) NORFOLK VA 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 19(21) 3(24) X(24) X(24) NORFOLK VA 50 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) OCEANA NAS VA 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 23(25) 3(28) X(28) X(28) OCEANA NAS VA 50 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) OCEANA NAS VA 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) ELIZABETH CTY 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 25(28) 3(31) X(31) X(31) ELIZABETH CTY 50 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) GREENSBORO NC 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) RALEIGH NC 34 X 1( 1) 4( 5) 5(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) ROCKY MT NC 34 X 1( 1) 5( 6) 10(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) CAPE HATTERAS 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 28(32) 2(34) X(34) X(34) CAPE HATTERAS 50 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) FAYETTEVILLE 34 1 1( 2) 10(12) 3(15) 1(16) X(16) X(16) CHARLOTTE NC 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) CHERRY PT NC 34 X 1( 1) 13(14) 17(31) 1(32) X(32) X(32) CHERRY PT NC 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) NEW RIVER NC 34 X 1( 1) 12(13) 18(31) 1(32) X(32) X(32) NEW RIVER NC 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) MOREHEAD CITY 34 X 1( 1) 13(14) 17(31) 1(32) X(32) X(32) MOREHEAD CITY 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) SURF CITY NC 34 1 1( 2) 20(22) 9(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) SURF CITY NC 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) WILMINGTON NC 34 1 1( 2) 23(25) 5(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) WILMINGTON NC 50 X X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) BALD HEAD ISL 34 1 3( 4) 24(28) 3(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) BALD HEAD ISL 50 X X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) FLORENCE SC 34 1 4( 5) 11(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) COLUMBIA SC 34 1 3( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) LITTLE RIVER 34 1 5( 6) 22(28) 2(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) LITTLE RIVER 50 X X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) MYRTLE BEACH 34 2 7( 9) 20(29) 1(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) MYRTLE BEACH 50 X X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) GEORGETOWN SC 34 3 13(16) 16(32) X(32) X(32) X(32) X(32) GEORGETOWN SC 50 X 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) CHARLESTON SC 34 9 19(28) 6(34) X(34) X(34) X(34) X(34) CHARLESTON SC 50 X 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) BEAUFORT MCAS 34 14 15(29) 2(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) BEAUFORT MCAS 50 1 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) AUGUSTA GA 34 1 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) SAVANNAH GA 34 13 8(21) 1(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) KINGS BAY GA 34 4 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) WAYCROSS GA 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) MAYPORT NS FL 34 3 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) JACKSONVILLE 34 2 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN
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