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Potential Tropical Cyclone Two Forecast Advisory Number 3
2017-06-19 10:31:54| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC MON JUN 19 2017 000 WTNT22 KNHC 190831 TCMAT2 POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE TWO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022017 0900 UTC MON JUN 19 2017 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BARBADOS * ST. VINCENT AND THE GRENADINES * TRINIDAD * TOBAGO * GRENADA A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 HOURS. POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 8.4N 54.5W AT 19/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 20 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT.......50NE 0SE 0SW 50NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 0SE 0SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 8.4N 54.5W AT 19/0900Z AT 19/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 8.2N 53.5W FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 9.3N 57.4W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...60NE 0SE 0SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 10.4N 61.1W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...70NE 0SE 0SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 11.5N 64.3W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...80NE 0SE 0SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 12.4N 67.6W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT...60NE 0SE 0SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 13.5N 74.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 23/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 8.4N 54.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/1500Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH
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