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Remnants of Fred Forecast Advisory Number 22
2021-08-15 04:48:16| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC SUN AUG 15 2021 000 WTNT21 KNHC 150248 TCMAT1 REMNANTS OF FRED FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 22 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062021 0300 UTC SUN AUG 15 2021 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. INTERESTS IN THE NORTHERN COAST OF THE GULF OF MEXICO FROM MISSISSIPPI TO THE CENTRAL FLORIDA PANHANDLE SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THE REMNANTS OF FRED. WATCHES AND WARNINGS COULD BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THIS AREA EARLY SUNDAY. REMNANTS OF CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.8N 84.3W AT 15/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1012 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.8N 84.3W AT 15/0300Z AT 15/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.6N 84.1W FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 25.3N 85.7W...TROPICAL CYCLONE MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 40SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 26.8N 86.9W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 50SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 28.3N 87.8W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 29.7N 88.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 31.4N 87.9W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 33.1N 87.6W...INLAND MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 19/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.8N 84.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0900Z $$ FORECASTER BROWN
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