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Remnants of Fred Forecast Advisory Number 23
2021-08-15 10:54:52| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC SUN AUG 15 2021 000 WTNT21 KNHC 150854 TCMAT1 REMNANTS OF FRED FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 23 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062021 0900 UTC SUN AUG 15 2021 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTH-CENTRAL GULF COAST FROM THE ALABAMA/FLORIDA BORDER EASTWARD TO OCHLOCKONEE RIVER...FLORIDA. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * ALABAMA/FLORIDA BORDER TO OCHLOCKONEE FLORIDA A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. INTERESTS ALONG THE NORTHERN COAST OF THE GULF OF MEXICO FROM ALABAMA TO THE CENTRAL FLORIDA PANHANDLE SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THE REMNANTS OF FRED. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH AREA LATER THIS MORNING. REMNANTS OF CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.4N 84.6W AT 15/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1011 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT.......100NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.4N 84.6W AT 15/0900Z AT 15/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.0N 84.3W FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 25.5N 85.6W...TROPICAL CYCLONE MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT...100NE 60SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 27.0N 86.6W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 50SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 28.5N 87.1W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 80NE 60SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 30.3N 87.1W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 80NE 70SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 32.5N 86.8W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 35.0N 85.8W...INLAND MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.4N 84.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/1500Z $$ FORECASTER STEWART
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