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Remnants of John Forecast Discussion Number 10
2024-09-24 19:48:58| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1200 PM CST Tue Sep 24 2024 000 WTPZ45 KNHC 241748 TCDEP5 Remnants Of John Special Discussion Number 10 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP102024 1200 PM CST Tue Sep 24 2024 Satellite images and surface observations indicate that the low-level center of John has dissipated. Therefore, the system is no longer a tropical cyclone, and this is the last NHC advisory. However, an elongated trough partly associated with John's remnants appears to be forming off the coast of southern and southwestern Mexico. This system is now included in the Tropical Weather Outlook with a medium chance of development. Regardless of whether or not John re-forms or a new system develops, heavy rainfall with the potential for significant flooding is likely during the next several days over portions of southern and southwestern Mexico, especially in areas of high terrain. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 24/1800Z 17.7N 100.6W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 25/0000Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Cangialosi/Bucci
Category:Transportation and Logistics
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Summary for Remnants of John (EP5/EP102024)
2024-09-24 19:48:04| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...JOHN DISSIPATES OVER MEXICO... ...HEAVY RAINS STILL EXPECTED TO CAUSE FLASH FLOODING OVER SOUTHERN AND SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO FOR SEVERAL MORE DAYS... As of 12:00 PM CST Tue Sep 24 the center of John was located near 17.7, -100.6 with movement WNW at 3 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1004 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.
Category: Transportation and Logistics
Remnants of John Public Advisory Number 10
2024-09-24 19:48:04| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1200 PM CST Tue Sep 24 2024 000 WTPZ35 KNHC 241747 TCPEP5 BULLETIN Remnants Of John Special Advisory Number 10 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP102024 1200 PM CST Tue Sep 24 2024 ...JOHN DISSIPATES OVER MEXICO... ...HEAVY RAINS STILL EXPECTED TO CAUSE FLASH FLOODING OVER SOUTHERN AND SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO FOR SEVERAL MORE DAYS... SUMMARY OF 1200 PM CST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...17.7N 100.6W ABOUT 70 MI...115 KM NW OF ACAPULCO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The government of Mexico has discontinued all Tropical Storm Warnings. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1200 PM CST (1800 UTC), the remnants of John were located inland near latitude 17.7 North, longitude 100.6 West. The remnants are moving toward the west-northwest near 3 mph (6 km/h). Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb (29.65 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Through Thursday, the remnants of John are expected to produce 6 to 12 inches of rain with isolated totals around 15 inches across the coastal areas of Chiapas. In areas along and near the Oaxaca coast to southeast Guerrero, between 10 and 20 inches of rain with isolated totals near 30 inches can be expected through Thursday. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on this system. Information on possible tropical cyclone development off the coast of Mexico will be contained in the Tropical Weather Outlook issued by the National Hurricane Center. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi/Bucci
Category: Transportation and Logistics