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Subtropical Storm Oscar Forecast Advisory Number 4
2018-10-27 22:32:33| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC SAT OCT 27 2018 000 WTNT21 KNHC 272032 TCMAT1 SUBTROPICAL STORM OSCAR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162018 2100 UTC SAT OCT 27 2018 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. SUBTROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.9N 50.7W AT 27/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 265 DEGREES AT 15 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 995 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 0NE 0SE 0SW 40NW. 34 KT.......100NE 70SE 30SW 180NW. 12 FT SEAS..270NE 90SE 90SW 210NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.9N 50.7W AT 27/2100Z AT 27/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.1N 49.9W FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 26.1N 53.0W...TROPICAL CYCLONE MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 0SE 0SW 40NW. 34 KT...100NE 70SE 50SW 130NW. FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 25.7N 55.8W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW. 34 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 25.6N 57.9W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW. 34 KT... 80NE 90SE 50SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 26.4N 59.1W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 110SE 50SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 30.6N 57.5W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 60SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT...100NE 150SE 60SW 80NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 31/1800Z 38.5N 50.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 01/1800Z 46.5N 38.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.9N 50.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0300Z $$ FORECASTER ZELINSKY
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