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Subtropical Storm Patty Public Advisory Number 4A
2024-11-03 06:43:20| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 600 AM GMT Sun Nov 03 2024 000 WTNT32 KNHC 030543 TCPAT2 BULLETIN Subtropical Storm Patty Intermediate Advisory Number 4A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL172024 600 AM GMT Sun Nov 03 2024 ...PATTY PASSING SOUTH OF TERCEIRA ISLAND... ...TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR THE AZORES... SUMMARY OF 600 AM GMT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...37.9N 26.8W ABOUT 65 MI...100 KM SSE OF LAJES IN THE AZORES MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...E OR 95 DEGREES AT 20 MPH...31 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...988 MB...29.18 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * All of the Azores A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case through today. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 600 AM GMT (0600 UTC), the center of Subtropical Storm Patty was located near latitude 37.9 North, longitude 26.8 West. The storm is moving toward the east near 20 mph (31 km/h), and an eastward to east-northeastward motion is expected during the next couple of days. On the forecast track, the center of Patty is expected to move near or just south of the Azores through today. Maximum sustained winds are near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher gusts. Gradual weakening is expected during the next couple of days. Patty is forecast to become a post-tropical low on Monday and dissipate by midweek. Winds of 40 mph extend outward up to 205 miles (335 km), mainly to the south and southwest of the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 988 mb (29.18 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected in the Azores through today. RAINFALL: Patty is expected to produce rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 inches (25 to 50 millimeters) with local amounts to 4 inches (100 mm) across the Azores through early Monday. SURF: Swells generated by Patty will affect the Azores over the next day or two. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 900 AM GMT. $$ Forecaster Reinhart
Category:Transportation and Logistics
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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2024-11-03 06:34:49| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 030534 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 100 AM EST Sun Nov 3 2024 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Subtropical Storm Patty, located over the northeastern Atlantic Ocean near the Azores Islands. Southwestern Caribbean Sea (AL97): Disorganized showers and thunderstorms continue in association with a broad area of low pressure over the southwestern Caribbean Sea. Gradual development of this system is expected, and a tropical depression is likely to form within the next couple of days while moving generally northward to northwestward over the central and western Caribbean Sea. Regardless of development, locally heavy rains are possible over portions of the adjacent land areas of the western Caribbean, including Jamaica, Hispaniola, and Cuba. Interests in the western Caribbean Sea should monitor the progress of this system. An Air Force Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate this system later today. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent. Near the Greater Antilles: A trough of low pressure just north of Hispaniola and Puerto Rico continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms along with gusty winds over the adjacent waters of the southwestern Atlantic. Slow development of this system is possible during the day or two while it moves westward near the Greater Antilles. By early this week, this system is expected to be absorbed into the low pressure area over the Caribbean Sea (AL97). Regardless of development, locally heavy rains are possible during the next couple of days across the northern Leeward Islands, Puerto Rico, Hispaniola, eastern Cuba, and the southeastern Bahamas. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent. && Public Advisories on Subtropical Storm Patty are issued under WMO header WTNT32 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT2. Forecast/Advisories on Subtropical Storm Patty are issued under WMO header WTNT22 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT2. $$ Forecaster Reinhart
Category: Transportation and Logistics
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2024-11-03 06:23:50| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 030523 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Sat Nov 2 2024 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Lane, located over the western portion of the eastern Pacific basin. Southwest of Southwestern Mexico (EP93): An area of low pressure located well to the south of the southern tip of Baja California is producing some disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity. Environmental conditions appear marginally conducive for some additional development of this slow-moving system, and a tropical depression could form over the next several days. The low is expected to begin an eastward drift in a few days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent. $$ Forecaster Pasch
Category: Transportation and Logistics