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Summary for Hurricane Kirk (AT2/AL122024)
2024-10-02 04:40:40| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...KIRK HOLDING STEADY... As of 11:00 PM AST Tue Oct 1 the center of Kirk was located near 16.7, -40.8 with movement NW at 13 mph. The minimum central pressure was 986 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 75 mph.
Category:Transportation and Logistics
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Tropical Depression Eleven-E Forecast Discussion Number 2
2024-10-02 04:34:43| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 900 PM CST Tue Oct 01 2024 000 WTPZ41 KNHC 020234 TCDEP1 Tropical Depression Eleven-E Discussion Number 2 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP112024 900 PM CST Tue Oct 01 2024 The depression has not become better organized this evening. Deep convection has been separating from the low-level center, which is now exposed to the east of the thunderstorms. The initial intensity is held at 30 kt, near the high end of the satellite estimates. The system is close to the coast, currently over the Gulf of Tehuantepec, and appears to be moving northward at about 5 kt. The models don't have a good handle on this system, likely because it is weak and relatively small. The official track forecast continues to lean heavily on the ECMWF solution, taking the system inland over southern Mexico on Wednesday. There could be a little strengthening before the depression reaches the coast, but given its current structure, significant intensification is not expected. The main impact from the system is expected to be heavy rainfall, which could lead to flooding and mudslides over portions of southern Mexico and western Guatemala. KEY MESSAGES: 1. The depression is forecast to become a tropical storm before it moves inland over southern or southeastern Mexico on Wednesday. A Tropical Storm Warning remains in effect for that area. 2. Tropical Depression Eleven-E will likely bring heavy rainfall to portions of southern Mexico and Guatemala this week. Flooding and mudslides, especially in areas of steep terrain, are possible, especially from western Guatemala into portions of the Mexican states of Chiapas, Oaxaca, Veracruz, and Tabasco. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 02/0300Z 15.6N 94.6W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 02/1200Z 15.9N 94.7W 40 KT 45 MPH 24H 03/0000Z 16.5N 94.8W 40 KT 45 MPH...INLAND 36H 03/1200Z 17.0N 94.9W 30 KT 35 MPH...INLAND 48H 04/0000Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
Category: Transportation and Logistics
Summary for Tropical Depression Eleven-E (EP1/EP112024)
2024-10-02 04:33:41| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...DEPRESSION EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HEAVY RAINFALL IN WESTERN GUATEMALA AND SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS... As of 9:00 PM CST Tue Oct 1 the center of Eleven-E was located near 15.6, -94.6 with movement N at 6 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1006 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.
Category: Transportation and Logistics