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Summary for Subtropical Storm Patty (AT2/AL172024)

2024-11-03 06:43:20| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

...PATTY PASSING SOUTH OF TERCEIRA ISLAND... ...TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR THE AZORES... As of 6:00 AM GMT Sun Nov 3 the center of Patty was located near 37.9, -26.8 with movement E at 20 mph. The minimum central pressure was 988 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 60 mph.


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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2024-11-03 06:34:49| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 030534 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 100 AM EST Sun Nov 3 2024 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Subtropical Storm Patty, located over the northeastern Atlantic Ocean near the Azores Islands. Southwestern Caribbean Sea (AL97): Disorganized showers and thunderstorms continue in association with a broad area of low pressure over the southwestern Caribbean Sea. Gradual development of this system is expected, and a tropical depression is likely to form within the next couple of days while moving generally northward to northwestward over the central and western Caribbean Sea. Regardless of development, locally heavy rains are possible over portions of the adjacent land areas of the western Caribbean, including Jamaica, Hispaniola, and Cuba. Interests in the western Caribbean Sea should monitor the progress of this system. An Air Force Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate this system later today. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent. Near the Greater Antilles: A trough of low pressure just north of Hispaniola and Puerto Rico continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms along with gusty winds over the adjacent waters of the southwestern Atlantic. Slow development of this system is possible during the day or two while it moves westward near the Greater Antilles. By early this week, this system is expected to be absorbed into the low pressure area over the Caribbean Sea (AL97). Regardless of development, locally heavy rains are possible during the next couple of days across the northern Leeward Islands, Puerto Rico, Hispaniola, eastern Cuba, and the southeastern Bahamas. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent. && Public Advisories on Subtropical Storm Patty are issued under WMO header WTNT32 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT2. Forecast/Advisories on Subtropical Storm Patty are issued under WMO header WTNT22 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT2. $$ Forecaster Reinhart


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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2024-11-03 06:23:50| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 030523 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Sat Nov 2 2024 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Lane, located over the western portion of the eastern Pacific basin. Southwest of Southwestern Mexico (EP93): An area of low pressure located well to the south of the southern tip of Baja California is producing some disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity. Environmental conditions appear marginally conducive for some additional development of this slow-moving system, and a tropical depression could form over the next several days. The low is expected to begin an eastward drift in a few days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent. $$ Forecaster Pasch


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