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Tropical Depression Emily Wind Speed Probabilities Number 4
2017-07-31 22:43:11| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC MON JUL 31 2017 000 FONT11 KNHC 312043 PWSAT1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION EMILY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062017 2100 UTC MON JUL 31 2017 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION EMILY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 81.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) ELIZABETH CTY 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) CAPE HATTERAS 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 2( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) CHERRY PT NC 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) NEW RIVER NC 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8) MOREHEAD CITY 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) SURF CITY NC 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) WILMINGTON NC 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) BALD HEAD ISL 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) LITTLE RIVER 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) MYRTLE BEACH 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) GEORGETOWN SC 34 X X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) DAYTONA BEACH 34 2 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) ORLANDO FL 34 6 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) COCOA BEACH FL 34 16 2(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) PATRICK AFB 34 16 2(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) FT PIERCE FL 34 14 X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) W PALM BEACH 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) VENICE FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) BERMUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) $$ FORECASTER STEWART
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