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Tropical Depression Erin Wind Speed Probabilities Number 8

2019-08-28 16:36:04| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 1500 UTC WED AUG 28 2019 000 FONT11 KNHC 281435 PWSAT1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ERIN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 8 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062019 1500 UTC WED AUG 28 2019 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ERIN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 33.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 72.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT BURGEO NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) PTX BASQUES 34 X X( X) X( X) 12(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) EDDY POINT NS 34 X X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) SYDNEY NS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) HALIFAX NS 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 14(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) YARMOUTH NS 34 X X( X) 25(25) 4(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) YARMOUTH NS 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) MONCTON NB 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 14(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) ST JOHN NB 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 11(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) EASTPORT ME 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 5( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) BAR HARBOR ME 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) HYANNIS MA 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) NANTUCKET MA 34 X 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) $$ FORECASTER BROWN

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