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Tropical Depression Eta Wind Speed Probabilities Number 25
2020-11-06 21:54:39| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC FRI NOV 06 2020 000 FONT14 KNHC 062054 PWSAT4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ETA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 25 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL292020 2100 UTC FRI NOV 06 2020 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ETA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN STANDARD TIME (EST)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL STANDARD TIME (CST)...SUBTRACT 6 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT KINGS BAY GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) MAYPORT NS FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 2( 5) JACKSONVILLE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 2( 3) GAINESVILLE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) DAYTONA BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) THE VILLAGES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) 2( 7) ORLANDO FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7) 2( 9) COCOA BEACH FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 3(13) 1(14) PATRICK AFB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 3(13) 1(14) FT PIERCE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 12(13) 4(17) 1(18) W PALM BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 20(21) 5(26) 1(27) W PALM BEACH 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) FT LAUDERDALE 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 28(30) 5(35) 1(36) FT LAUDERDALE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) FT LAUDERDALE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) MIAMI FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 20(21) 4(25) 1(26) MIAMI FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) HOMESTEAD ARB 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 21(23) 3(26) 1(27) HOMESTEAD ARB 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) 1( 7) HOMESTEAD ARB 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) MARATHON FL 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 33(38) 5(43) 2(45) MARATHON FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) 2(14) 1(15) MARATHON FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) KEY WEST FL 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 27(30) 8(38) 3(41) KEY WEST FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 4(13) 1(14) KEY WEST FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) NAPLES FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 28(29) 9(38) 2(40) NAPLES FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 2( 9) 1(10) NAPLES FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) FT MYERS FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) 6(19) 1(20) FT MYERS FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) VENICE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 17(17) 8(25) 4(29) VENICE FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) TAMPA FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 5(16) 4(20) TAMPA FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) CEDAR KEY FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 4( 9) 4(13) TALLAHASSEE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) ST MARKS FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) APALACHICOLA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 6(11) GFMX 290N 850W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) 7(15) GFMX 290N 850W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) PANAMA CITY FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 6(10) DESTIN EXEC AP 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) WHITING FLD FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) PENSACOLA FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) GFMX 290N 870W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 7(13) GFMX 290N 870W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) MOBILE AL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) GULFPORT MS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) GFMX 280N 890W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 6( 9) GFMX 280N 910W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) COZUMEL MX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) GRAND BAHAMA 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 14(16) 2(18) 1(19) GRAND BAHAMA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) NEW PROVIDENCE 34 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 10(15) 2(17) X(17) ANDROS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 12(20) 1(21) 1(22) ANDROS 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) GREAT EXUMA 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) CP SAN ANTONIO 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 3( 4) 4( 8) 3(11) HAVANA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 8(14) 5(19) 3(22) HAVANA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) HAVANA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) ISLE OF PINES 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 3( 7) 3(10) 3(13) 1(14) CIENFUEGOS 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 21(25) 6(31) X(31) 1(32) CIENFUEGOS 50 X X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 2( 9) X( 9) X( 9) CIENFUEGOS 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) CAMAGUEY 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) 2(13) 1(14) X(14) GRAND CAYMAN 34 X 22(22) 23(45) X(45) 1(46) X(46) X(46) GRAND CAYMAN 50 X 2( 2) 4( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) MONTEGO BAY 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) PENSACOLA NAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 5( 7) KEESLER AB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) $$ FORECASTER BEVEN
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