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Tropical Depression FIFTEEN-E Wind Speed Probabilities Number 1
2016-09-04 22:50:17| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 2100 UTC SUN SEP 04 2016 000 FOPZ15 KNHC 042050 PWSEP5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152016 2100 UTC SUN SEP 04 2016 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 105.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT YUMA AZ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) PUNTA EUGENIA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 2(11) X(11) P ABREOJOS 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 22(23) 1(24) X(24) P ABREOJOS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) P ABREOJOS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) CABO SAN LUCAS 34 X 1( 1) 9(10) 48(58) 8(66) X(66) X(66) CABO SAN LUCAS 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 18(19) 5(24) X(24) X(24) CABO SAN LUCAS 64 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) SAN JOSE CABO 34 X X( X) 8( 8) 46(54) 6(60) X(60) X(60) SAN JOSE CABO 50 X X( X) X( X) 13(13) 5(18) X(18) X(18) SAN JOSE CABO 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) LA PAZ 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 29(32) 26(58) X(58) X(58) LA PAZ 50 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 13(17) X(17) X(17) LA PAZ 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) LORETO 34 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 44(49) 1(50) X(50) LORETO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 15(15) X(15) X(15) LORETO 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) P PENASCO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 8(11) X(11) HERMOSILLO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) 8(20) X(20) BAHIA KINO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 21(21) 7(28) X(28) BAHIA KINO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) GUAYMAS 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 24(25) 3(28) X(28) GUAYMAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) HUATABAMPO 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 16(18) 1(19) X(19) HUATABAMPO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) LOS MOCHIS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 12(17) X(17) X(17) LOS MOCHIS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) CULIACAN 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 3( 8) X( 8) X( 8) ISLAS MARIAS 34 X 3( 3) 7(10) 2(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) MAZATLAN 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) SAN BLAS 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) P VALLARTA 34 X 3( 3) 3( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) BARRA NAVIDAD 34 1 4( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) MANZANILLO 34 1 3( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 20N 110W 34 X 3( 3) 33(36) 5(41) X(41) X(41) X(41) 20N 110W 50 X X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) ISLA SOCORRO 34 X 2( 2) 4( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) 25N 115W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) X( 8) X( 8) $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
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Category:Transportation and Logistics
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