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Tropical Depression FIVE-E Wind Speed Probabilities Number 2
2015-07-11 22:21:45| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 2100 UTC SAT JUL 11 2015 000 FOPZ15 KNHC 112021 PWSEP5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052015 2100 UTC SAT JUL 11 2015 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 99.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT P ABREOJOS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) CABO SAN LUCAS 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 12(19) 6(25) CABO SAN LUCAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) CABO SAN LUCAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) SAN JOSE CABO 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 10(16) 7(23) SAN JOSE CABO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) SAN JOSE CABO 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) LA PAZ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) 5(14) LA PAZ 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) LORETO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) HUATABAMPO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) LOS MOCHIS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 3( 6) CULIACAN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 4(10) CULIACAN 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) MAZATLAN 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 5(10) 3(13) SAN BLAS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 8(13) 4(17) 2(19) SAN BLAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) P VALLARTA 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 8(11) 10(21) 3(24) 2(26) P VALLARTA 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) BARRA NAVIDAD 34 X 1( 1) 10(11) 14(25) 8(33) 2(35) 2(37) BARRA NAVIDAD 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 3( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) BARRA NAVIDAD 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) MANZANILLO 34 X 1( 1) 10(11) 11(22) 6(28) 2(30) 1(31) MANZANILLO 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) L CARDENAS 34 X 5( 5) 7(12) 2(14) 2(16) 1(17) 1(18) ZIHUATANEJO 34 X 4( 4) 3( 7) 2( 9) 1(10) 1(11) 1(12) ACAPULCO 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) ISLA SOCORRO 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 16(19) 17(36) 6(42) ISLA SOCORRO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 8(11) 3(14) ISLA SOCORRO 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) ISLA CLARION 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 6(13) ISLA CLARION 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) ISLA CLARION 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) ISLAS MARIAS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 13(20) 6(26) 3(29) ISLAS MARIAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) ISLAS MARIAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
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