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Tropical Depression Four-E Wind Speed Probabilities Number 2

2018-06-15 04:33:28| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 0300 UTC FRI JUN 15 2018 000 FOPZ14 KNHC 150233 PWSEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042018 0300 UTC FRI JUN 15 2018 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 100.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT L CARDENAS 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 3( 6) 6(12) X(12) X(12) ZIHUATANEJO 34 X 2( 2) 5( 7) 5(12) 9(21) X(21) X(21) ZIHUATANEJO 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 15N 100W 34 7 11(18) 14(32) 8(40) 4(44) X(44) X(44) 15N 100W 50 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 4( 7) 3(10) X(10) X(10) 15N 100W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) ACAPULCO 34 1 13(14) 20(34) 10(44) 6(50) X(50) X(50) ACAPULCO 50 X 1( 1) 4( 5) 4( 9) 4(13) X(13) X(13) ACAPULCO 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) P MALDONADO 34 X 5( 5) 15(20) 13(33) 8(41) X(41) X(41) P MALDONADO 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) P MALDONADO 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) P ANGEL 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6) HUATULCO 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) $$ FORECASTER ZELINSKY

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