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Tropical Depression JULIA Wind Speed Probabilities Number 19
2016-09-18 16:55:48| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC SUN SEP 18 2016 000 FONT11 KNHC 181455 PWSAT1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION JULIA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 19 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112016 1500 UTC SUN SEP 18 2016 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION JULIA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 31.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 77.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 25 KTS...30 MPH...45 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT PAX RIVER NAS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) WALLOPS CDA 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) RICHMOND VA 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) DANVILLE VA 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) NORFOLK NAS 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) 2( 3) 4( 7) X( 7) X( 7) NORFOLK VA 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 3( 7) X( 7) X( 7) OCEANA NAS VA 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 3( 7) X( 7) X( 7) ELIZABETH CTY 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 3( 6) 3( 9) X( 9) X( 9) GREENSBORO NC 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) RALEIGH NC 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) 4( 9) X( 9) X( 9) ROCKY MT NC 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) 4( 8) 4(12) X(12) X(12) CAPE HATTERAS 34 X 3( 3) 3( 6) 3( 9) 4(13) X(13) X(13) FAYETTEVILLE 34 X 2( 2) 3( 5) 3( 8) 3(11) X(11) X(11) CHARLOTTE NC 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) CHERRY PT NC 34 X 6( 6) 9(15) 4(19) 4(23) X(23) X(23) CHERRY PT NC 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) NEW RIVER NC 34 X 7( 7) 8(15) 6(21) 2(23) X(23) X(23) NEW RIVER NC 50 X X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) MOREHEAD CITY 34 X 8( 8) 9(17) 5(22) 2(24) X(24) X(24) MOREHEAD CITY 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) SURF CITY NC 34 X 11(11) 8(19) 5(24) 3(27) X(27) X(27) SURF CITY NC 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) WILMINGTON NC 34 X 10(10) 8(18) 5(23) 3(26) X(26) X(26) WILMINGTON NC 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) BALD HEAD ISL 34 X 13(13) 8(21) 3(24) 2(26) X(26) X(26) FLORENCE SC 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) 2( 6) 3( 9) X( 9) X( 9) COLUMBIA SC 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) LITTLE RIVER 34 X 7( 7) 5(12) 3(15) 3(18) X(18) X(18) MYRTLE BEACH 34 X 5( 5) 5(10) 2(12) 2(14) X(14) X(14) GEORGETOWN SC 34 X 3( 3) 3( 6) 3( 9) 2(11) X(11) X(11) CHARLESTON SC 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) BEAUFORT MCAS 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) $$ FORECASTER STEWART
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