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Tropical Depression JULIA Wind Speed Probabilities Number 6
2016-09-15 10:38:26| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC THU SEP 15 2016 000 FONT11 KNHC 150838 PWSAT1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION JULIA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 6 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112016 0900 UTC THU SEP 15 2016 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION JULIA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 32.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 79.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT DANVILLE VA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) ELIZABETH CTY 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) GREENSBORO NC 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) RALEIGH NC 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) ROCKY MT NC 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) CAPE HATTERAS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) FAYETTEVILLE 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) 2( 5) 3( 8) X( 8) CHARLOTTE NC 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) CHERRY PT NC 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) NEW RIVER NC 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) MOREHEAD CITY 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) SURF CITY NC 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7) 2( 9) X( 9) WILMINGTON NC 34 X 2( 2) 3( 5) 2( 7) 2( 9) 3(12) X(12) BALD HEAD ISL 34 X 3( 3) 5( 8) 3(11) 2(13) 3(16) X(16) FLORENCE SC 34 X 2( 2) 4( 6) 2( 8) 2(10) 4(14) X(14) COLUMBIA SC 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) 3( 8) 4(12) X(12) LITTLE RIVER 34 1 2( 3) 6( 9) 3(12) 2(14) 3(17) X(17) MYRTLE BEACH 34 1 3( 4) 6(10) 4(14) 3(17) 3(20) X(20) GEORGETOWN SC 34 2 5( 7) 7(14) 6(20) 2(22) 3(25) X(25) CHARLESTON SC 34 4 5( 9) 6(15) 6(21) 3(24) 1(25) X(25) CHARLESTON SC 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) BEAUFORT MCAS 34 3 3( 6) 4(10) 6(16) 4(20) 2(22) X(22) ATLANTA GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) AUGUSTA GA 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 2( 6) 3( 9) X( 9) SAVANNAH GA 34 2 2( 4) 3( 7) 5(12) 4(16) 2(18) X(18) KINGS BAY GA 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 3( 6) 3( 9) 2(11) X(11) WAYCROSS GA 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) 2( 3) 3( 6) 3( 9) X( 9) MAYPORT NS FL 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 4( 6) 3( 9) 2(11) X(11) JACKSONVILLE 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 3( 5) 3( 8) 2(10) X(10) GAINESVILLE FL 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) DAYTONA BEACH 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) THE VILLAGES 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) ORLANDO FL 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) COCOA BEACH FL 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) PATRICK AFB 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) CEDAR KEY FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) TALLAHASSEE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN
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