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Tropical Depression Joyce Wind Speed Probabilities Number 14
2024-09-30 22:40:28| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC MON SEP 30 2024 000 FONT11 KNHC 302040 PWSAT1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION JOYCE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 14 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112024 2100 UTC MON SEP 30 2024 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION JOYCE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 48.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER KONARIK/BLAKE
Category:Transportation and Logistics
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Tropical Depression Joyce Forecast Advisory Number 14
2024-09-30 22:40:03| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC MON SEP 30 2024 000 WTNT21 KNHC 302039 TCMAT1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION JOYCE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112024 2100 UTC MON SEP 30 2024 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.7N 48.9W AT 30/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 2 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.7N 48.9W AT 30/2100Z AT 30/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.5N 48.9W FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 23.4N 48.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 24.8N 48.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 26.5N 48.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.7N 48.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0300Z $$ FORECASTER KONARIK/BLAKE
Category: Transportation and Logistics
Tropical Storm Kirk Forecast Advisory Number 5
2024-09-30 22:40:03| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC MON SEP 30 2024 000 WTNT22 KNHC 302039 TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM KIRK FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122024 2100 UTC MON SEP 30 2024 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.6N 35.7W AT 30/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 999 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 40NE 40SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT.......100NE 80SE 60SW 80NW. 12 FT SEAS..135NE 75SE 0SW 135NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.6N 35.7W AT 30/2100Z AT 30/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.5N 35.1W FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 13.9N 37.2W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 0SW 40NW. 34 KT...130NE 110SE 70SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 14.5N 39.2W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 20SE 10SW 25NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...160NE 150SE 90SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 15.6N 41.1W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 35NE 25SE 15SW 25NW. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...170NE 160SE 90SW 130NW. FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 16.8N 42.7W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 50 KT... 70NE 60SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT...180NE 170SE 100SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 18.0N 44.0W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 50 KT... 90NE 80SE 40SW 60NW. 34 KT...180NE 170SE 100SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 19.3N 45.3W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 50 KT...100NE 90SE 50SW 80NW. 34 KT...200NE 190SE 110SW 160NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 04/1800Z 21.8N 47.7W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 50 KT...120NE 110SE 60SW 90NW. 34 KT...200NE 200SE 130SW 180NW. OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 25.5N 49.5W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 50 KT...140NE 130SE 80SW 100NW. 34 KT...220NE 220SE 140SW 180NW. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.6N 35.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BLAKE
Category: Transportation and Logistics