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Tropical Depression Joyce Forecast Advisory Number 14
2024-09-30 22:40:03| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC MON SEP 30 2024 000 WTNT21 KNHC 302039 TCMAT1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION JOYCE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112024 2100 UTC MON SEP 30 2024 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.7N 48.9W AT 30/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 2 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.7N 48.9W AT 30/2100Z AT 30/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.5N 48.9W FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 23.4N 48.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 24.8N 48.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 26.5N 48.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.7N 48.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0300Z $$ FORECASTER KONARIK/BLAKE
Category:Transportation and Logistics
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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2024-09-30 19:50:00| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 301749 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Mon Sep 30 2024 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Depression Joyce, located over the central Atlantic Ocean, on newly formed Tropical Storm Kirk, located over the eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean and has issued the last advisory on Post-Tropical Cyclone Isaac. Northwestern Caribbean Sea and Gulf of Mexico: A trough of low pressure located over the southwestern Caribbean Sea continues to produce some disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity. Environmental conditions could become conducive for gradual development, and a tropical depression could form in a few days while the system is over the southern Gulf of Mexico or northwestern Caribbean Sea. Interests along the U.S. Gulf Coast should continue to monitor the progress of this system. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent. Eastern Tropical Atlantic: Showers and thunderstorms continue to increase in association with a tropical wave located a few hundred miles south of the Cabo Verde Islands. Upper-level winds appear conducive for further development, and a tropical depression is very likely to form in a few days while it moves slowly westward over the eastern tropical Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent. $$ Forecaster Konarik/Blake
Category: Transportation and Logistics
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2024-09-30 19:41:27| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 301741 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Mon Sep 30 2024 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Offshore of Southwestern Mexico: An area of low pressure is expected to develop off the coast of southwestern Mexico during the next day or so. After that time, environmental conditions are expected to be generally conducive for additional development, and a tropical depression is likely to form by the middle or latter portions of this week. The disturbance is forecast to meander near or just offshore the Mexican coast for much of the week, and then begin moving slowly west-northwestward, parallel to the coast of Mexico by this weekend. Regardless of development, this system is expected to contribute to heavy rainfall across portions of the southwestern coast of Mexico already adversely affected by substantial rainfall last week, and interests there should monitor the progress of this disturbance. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent. South of the Gulf of Tehuantepec: Another area of low pressure in the Gulf of Tehuantepec is currently producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms mainly offshore of southern Mexico. The system is forecast to move erratically through mid-week before drifting northward towards the southern Mexican coast, and environmental conditions appear conducive for additional development while the system remains offshore. Regardless of development, heavy rain is possible along most of the coast of southern Mexico and northern Central America throughout this week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Papin
Category: Transportation and Logistics