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Tropical Depression Lee Forecast Advisory Number 18

2017-09-22 22:35:23| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 2100 UTC FRI SEP 22 2017 000 WTNT24 KNHC 222035 TCMAT4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION LEE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 18 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142017 2100 UTC FRI SEP 22 2017 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.8N 48.9W AT 22/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 10 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1014 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.8N 48.9W AT 22/2100Z AT 22/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.5N 49.0W FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 31.7N 48.7W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 32.3N 48.2W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 20SE 10SW 20NW. FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 32.3N 47.2W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 20NW. FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 32.1N 45.8W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 20NW. FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 31.4N 43.2W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 0NW. 34 KT... 40NE 50SE 40SW 30NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 30.5N 42.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z 29.5N 43.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.8N 48.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BLAKE

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