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Tropical Depression Nicholas Wind Speed Probabilities Number 12
2021-09-15 04:35:18| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC WED SEP 15 2021 000 FONT14 KNHC 150235 PWSAT4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION NICHOLAS WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 12 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142021 0300 UTC WED SEP 15 2021 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION NICHOLAS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 94.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT BATON ROUGE LA 34 X 2( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) MORGAN CITY LA 34 X 3( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) ALEXANDRIA LA 34 1 3( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) LAFAYETTE LA 34 1 7( 8) 2(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) NEW IBERIA LA 34 1 6( 7) 2( 9) 1(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11) FORT POLK LA 34 3 3( 6) 1( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) LAKE CHARLES 34 7 5(12) 2(14) 1(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) CAMERON LA 34 7 5(12) 2(14) X(14) 1(15) X(15) X(15) JASPER TX 34 3 1( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) KOUNTZE TX 34 3 3( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) PORT ARTHUR TX 34 4 5( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) GALVESTON TX 34 1 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) HIGH ISLAND TX 34 3 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) $$ FORECASTER BEVEN
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