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Tropical Depression Nineteen Wind Speed Probabilities Number 1
2020-09-11 22:56:34| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC FRI SEP 11 2020 000 FONT14 KNHC 112056 PWSAT4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINETEEN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL192020 2100 UTC FRI SEP 11 2020 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINETEEN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 79.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT KINGS BAY GA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) WAYCROSS GA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) MAYPORT NS FL 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 3( 7) X( 7) X( 7) JACKSONVILLE 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) GAINESVILLE FL 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) 1( 6) DAYTONA BEACH 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) THE VILLAGES 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) 1( 6) ORLANDO FL 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) COCOA BEACH FL 34 1 X( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) PATRICK AFB 34 1 X( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) FT PIERCE FL 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) W PALM BEACH 34 4 3( 7) X( 7) 1( 8) 1( 9) 1(10) X(10) FT LAUDERDALE 34 14 3(17) 1(18) X(18) 1(19) X(19) X(19) MIAMI FL 34 2 5( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) HOMESTEAD ARB 34 3 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) MARATHON FL 34 1 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) KEY WEST FL 34 1 X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) NAPLES FL 34 1 10(11) 5(16) 1(17) 2(19) X(19) X(19) FT MYERS FL 34 1 7( 8) 3(11) X(11) 1(12) 1(13) X(13) VENICE FL 34 X 8( 8) 14(22) 3(25) 3(28) X(28) X(28) VENICE FL 50 X X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) TAMPA FL 34 X 2( 2) 11(13) 4(17) 4(21) 1(22) 1(23) TAMPA FL 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) CEDAR KEY FL 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 9(14) 7(21) 1(22) 1(23) CEDAR KEY FL 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) TALLAHASSEE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 7(10) 2(12) X(12) ST MARKS FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 7(11) 2(13) 1(14) ST MARKS FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) APALACHICOLA 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 22(24) 17(41) 3(44) X(44) APALACHICOLA 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 7(10) 1(11) 1(12) APALACHICOLA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) GFMX 290N 850W 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 29(34) 13(47) 3(50) X(50) GFMX 290N 850W 50 X X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 7(14) 1(15) X(15) GFMX 290N 850W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) PANAMA CITY FL 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 18(19) 22(41) 4(45) 1(46) PANAMA CITY FL 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) 3(12) X(12) PANAMA CITY FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) DESTIN EXEC AP 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 18(21) 5(26) 2(28) DESTIN EXEC AP 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6) COLUMBUS GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) BIRMINGHAM AL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 2( 6) MONTGOMERY AL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7) 3(10) WHITING FLD FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 17(18) 5(23) 4(27) WHITING FLD FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) WHITING FLD FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) PENSACOLA FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 18(20) 6(26) 3(29) PENSACOLA FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6) PENSACOLA FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) GFMX 290N 870W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 13(14) 28(42) 5(47) 3(50) GFMX 290N 870W 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 13(15) 4(19) 1(20) GFMX 290N 870W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6) MOBILE AL 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 14(15) 8(23) 5(28) MOBILE AL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) 2( 7) MOBILE AL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) GULFPORT MS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) 8(21) 7(28) GULFPORT MS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 3( 8) GULFPORT MS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) STENNIS MS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 10(19) 7(26) STENNIS MS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 3( 7) STENNIS MS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) BURAS LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 10(20) 6(26) BURAS LA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) BURAS LA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) GFMX 280N 890W 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 13(15) 8(23) 5(28) GFMX 280N 890W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 2( 9) GFMX 280N 890W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) JACKSON MS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 7(13) NEW ORLEANS LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 10(16) 8(24) NEW ORLEANS LA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) NEW ORLEANS LA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) GFMX 280N 910W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 8(14) 5(19) GFMX 280N 910W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) GFMX 280N 910W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) BATON ROUGE LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 6( 9) 8(17) BATON ROUGE LA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) MORGAN CITY LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 7(10) 7(17) MORGAN CITY LA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) ALEXANDRIA LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 7(11) LAFAYETTE LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 7(14) NEW IBERIA LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 7(14) GFMX 280N 930W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 6(11) SHREVEPORT LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) FORT POLK LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 6( 9) LAKE CHARLES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 6( 9) CAMERON LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 6(12) JASPER TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) KOUNTZE TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) PORT ARTHUR TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) GALVESTON TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) HOUSTON TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) GFMX 280N 950W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) HIGH ISLAND TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) MATAGORDA TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) GRAND BAHAMA 34 2 X( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) PENSACOLA NAS 34 X X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 29(37) 6(43) 4(47) PENSACOLA NAS 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) 3(14) 2(16) PENSACOLA NAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) KEESLER AB 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 21(23) 10(33) 6(39) KEESLER AB 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 4(10) 4(14) KEESLER AB 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) $$ FORECASTER BLAKE
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