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Tropical Depression Rose Forecast Advisory Number 12
2021-09-22 04:38:18| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC WED SEP 22 2021 000 WTNT22 KNHC 220238 TCMAT2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ROSE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172021 0300 UTC WED SEP 22 2021 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.9N 37.9W AT 22/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. 12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.9N 37.9W AT 22/0300Z AT 22/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.7N 37.7W FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 23.9N 38.9W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 25.0N 40.1W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 26.3N 41.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 27.6N 41.2W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 28.9N 40.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 29.7N 37.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z 31.3N 32.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 27/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.9N 37.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0900Z $$ FORECASTER BROWN
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