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Tropical Depression Seven Wind Speed Probabilities Number 2
2021-08-13 22:52:21| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC FRI AUG 13 2021 000 FONT12 KNHC 132052 PWSAT2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072021 2100 UTC FRI AUG 13 2021 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 51.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT FT PIERCE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) W PALM BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) FT LAUDERDALE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) MIAMI FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) HOMESTEAD ARB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) MARATHON FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) KEY WEST FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) NAPLES FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) GRAND BAHAMA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) NEW PROVIDENCE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) ANDROS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 8(10) GREAT EXUMA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 4( 8) SAN SALVADOR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) MAYAGUANA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) 1(10) GRAND TURK 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 6(13) 1(14) HAVANA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) CAMAGUEY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) GUANTANAMO BAY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6) LES CAYES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) PORT-AU-PRINCE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 7(12) 1(13) CAPE BEATA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 4( 9) 1(10) PUERTO PLATA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 14(14) 6(20) 1(21) PUERTO PLATA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) SANTO DOMINGO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) 2(14) X(14) PONCE PR 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 14(18) X(18) X(18) PONCE PR 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) AGUADILLA PR 34 X X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 23(30) 1(31) X(31) AGUADILLA PR 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6) X( 6) AGUADILLA PR 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) SAN JUAN PR 34 X X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 13(20) X(20) X(20) SAN JUAN PR 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) VIEQUES PR 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 27(28) 10(38) X(38) X(38) VIEQUES PR 50 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 3( 8) X( 8) X( 8) VIEQUES PR 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) SAINT THOMAS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 29(30) 6(36) X(36) X(36) SAINT THOMAS 50 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) SAINT THOMAS 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) SAINT CROIX 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 31(32) 5(37) X(37) X(37) SAINT CROIX 50 X X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8) SAINT CROIX 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) SAINT MAARTEN 34 X X( X) 9( 9) 24(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) SAINT MAARTEN 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) SABA 34 X X( X) 11(11) 27(38) X(38) X(38) X(38) SABA 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) SABA 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) ST EUSTATIUS 34 X X( X) 14(14) 24(38) 1(39) X(39) X(39) ST EUSTATIUS 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) ST EUSTATIUS 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) ST KITTS-NEVIS 34 X X( X) 18(18) 19(37) X(37) X(37) X(37) ST KITTS-NEVIS 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) BARBUDA 34 X X( X) 27(27) 7(34) X(34) X(34) X(34) BARBUDA 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) ANTIGUA 34 X X( X) 30(30) 6(36) X(36) X(36) X(36) ANTIGUA 50 X X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) ANTIGUA 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) GUADELOUPE 34 X X( X) 17(17) 1(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) GUADELOUPE 50 X X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) AVES 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) DOMINICA 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER BERG
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