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Tropical Depression TWELVE Forecast Advisory Number 6

2016-09-15 22:37:32| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 2100 UTC THU SEP 15 2016 000 WTNT22 KNHC 152037 TCMAT2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122016 2100 UTC THU SEP 15 2016 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 31.4W AT 15/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 31.4W AT 15/2100Z AT 15/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 30.8W FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 17.9N 33.3W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 18.0N 36.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 17.8N 38.6W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 17.5N 41.2W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 17.0N 46.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 0SE 0SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z 17.5N 51.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 20/1800Z 18.5N 56.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.8N 31.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BLAKE

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