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Tropical Depression TWENTY-ONE-E Wind Speed Probabilities Number 2
2014-10-30 15:46:12| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1500 UTC THU OCT 30 2014 000 FOPZ11 KNHC 301446 PWSEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-ONE-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP212014 1500 UTC THU OCT 30 2014 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-ONE-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 11.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 100.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT CABO SAN LUCAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 9(12) CABO SAN LUCAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) SAN JOSE CABO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 9(12) SAN JOSE CABO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) LA PAZ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) LORETO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) HUATABAMPO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) LOS MOCHIS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) CULIACAN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) MAZATLAN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) SAN BLAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 11(13) SAN BLAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) P VALLARTA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 13(15) P VALLARTA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) BARRA NAVIDAD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 11(14) BARRA NAVIDAD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) MANZANILLO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 9(12) L CARDENAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) ZIHUATANEJO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) ISLA SOCORRO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 17(17) 15(32) ISLA SOCORRO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 6(11) ISLA SOCORRO 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) ISLA CLARION 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 4(10) ISLA CLARION 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) ISLA CLARION 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) ISLAS MARIAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 16(18) ISLAS MARIAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) ISLAS MARIAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) CLIPPERTON IS 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 26(29) 9(38) 1(39) CLIPPERTON IS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 4(12) 1(13) CLIPPERTON IS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) $$ FORECASTER BLAKE
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