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Tropical Depression TWO Wind Speed Probabilities Number 1
2016-05-27 22:49:54| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC FRI MAY 27 2016 000 FONT12 KNHC 272049 PWSAT2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022016 2100 UTC FRI MAY 27 2016 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 74.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT BALTIMORE MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 2( 3) ANNAPOLIS MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) WASHINGTON DC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) CAPE HENLOPEN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) OCEAN CITY MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) PAX RIVER NAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) WALLOPS CDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 2( 5) CHARLOTTESVIL 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) RICHMOND VA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) 2( 7) DANVILLE VA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 4( 8) 1( 9) 2(11) NORFOLK NAS 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) 2( 8) NORFOLK VA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) 2( 8) OCEANA NAS VA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) 2( 8) ELIZABETH CTY 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 4( 6) 2( 8) 2(10) GREENSBORO NC 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 5(10) 2(12) 1(13) RALEIGH NC 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 6(12) 2(14) 2(16) ROCKY MT NC 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 5(10) 2(12) 2(14) CAPE HATTERAS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 4( 7) 4(11) 2(13) FAYETTEVILLE 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 8(12) 9(21) 2(23) 2(25) FAYETTEVILLE 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) CHARLOTTE NC 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 9(11) 6(17) 1(18) 1(19) CHARLOTTE NC 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) CHERRY PT NC 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 3( 6) 8(14) 3(17) 2(19) CHERRY PT NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) NEW RIVER NC 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) 3( 6) 7(13) 3(16) 2(18) MOREHEAD CITY 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) 3( 7) 7(14) 3(17) 2(19) SURF CITY NC 34 X 2( 2) 3( 5) 4( 9) 11(20) 2(22) 2(24) SURF CITY NC 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) WILMINGTON NC 34 X 2( 2) 4( 6) 6(12) 11(23) 2(25) 2(27) WILMINGTON NC 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) 1( 5) BALD HEAD ISL 34 X 3( 3) 7(10) 5(15) 12(27) 2(29) 2(31) BALD HEAD ISL 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 4( 6) X( 6) X( 6) FLORENCE SC 34 X 2( 2) 7( 9) 15(24) 10(34) 1(35) 1(36) FLORENCE SC 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) X( 6) X( 6) FLORENCE SC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) COLUMBIA SC 34 X 1( 1) 5( 6) 17(23) 8(31) 1(32) X(32) COLUMBIA SC 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6) COLUMBIA SC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) LITTLE RIVER 34 X 3( 3) 9(12) 9(21) 12(33) 1(34) 1(35) LITTLE RIVER 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 3( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) LITTLE RIVER 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) MYRTLE BEACH 34 X 3( 3) 12(15) 11(26) 11(37) 1(38) X(38) MYRTLE BEACH 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 4( 7) X( 7) X( 7) MYRTLE BEACH 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) GEORGETOWN SC 34 X 3( 3) 16(19) 13(32) 9(41) 1(42) X(42) GEORGETOWN SC 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 3( 8) X( 8) X( 8) GEORGETOWN SC 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) CHARLESTON SC 34 X 4( 4) 24(28) 13(41) 6(47) X(47) 1(48) CHARLESTON SC 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) 2(10) X(10) X(10) CHARLESTON SC 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) BEAUFORT MCAS 34 X 3( 3) 21(24) 12(36) 7(43) X(43) 1(44) BEAUFORT MCAS 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) BEAUFORT MCAS 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) ATLANTA GA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6) AUGUSTA GA 34 X 1( 1) 4( 5) 14(19) 7(26) X(26) 1(27) AUGUSTA GA 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) SAVANNAH GA 34 X 3( 3) 13(16) 11(27) 6(33) 1(34) X(34) SAVANNAH GA 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8) KINGS BAY GA 34 X 2( 2) 5( 7) 7(14) 3(17) 1(18) X(18) WAYCROSS GA 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 7(11) 4(15) X(15) X(15) MAYPORT NS FL 34 X 2( 2) 5( 7) 5(12) 3(15) X(15) X(15) JACKSONVILLE 34 X 1( 1) 4( 5) 6(11) 3(14) X(14) X(14) GAINESVILLE FL 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) DAYTONA BEACH 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) THE VILLAGES 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) ORLANDO FL 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) COCOA BEACH FL 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) PATRICK AFB 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) CEDAR KEY FL 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) TALLAHASSEE FL 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) ST MARKS FL 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) COLUMBUS GA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) $$ FORECASTER STEWART
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