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Tropical Depression Twenty-Five Wind Speed Probabilities Number 1

2020-10-02 16:55:43| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 1500 UTC FRI OCT 02 2020 000 FONT15 KNHC 021455 PWSAT5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-FIVE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL252020 1500 UTC FRI OCT 02 2020 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-FIVE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT GFMX 250N 960W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) VERACRUZ MX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) MERIDA MX 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 4( 7) 4(11) 2(13) COZUMEL MX 34 1 15(16) 18(34) 4(38) 3(41) X(41) 1(42) COZUMEL MX 50 X 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) 1( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) COZUMEL MX 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) BELIZE CITY 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) CP SAN ANTONIO 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) 2( 6) 5(11) 1(12) 1(13) HAVANA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) ISLE OF PINES 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) $$ FORECASTER PASCH

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